更新条件概率表
This commit is contained in:
@@ -86,11 +86,11 @@ landslide:
|
|||||||
# 暴雨+缓坡+松散堆积物:塬面黄土
|
# 暴雨+缓坡+松散堆积物:塬面黄土
|
||||||
- condition: {rain_intensity: [storm, downpour, extreme], slope: [low, medium], lithology: [unconsolidated]}
|
- condition: {rain_intensity: [storm, downpour, extreme], slope: [low, medium], lithology: [unconsolidated]}
|
||||||
probability: 0.30
|
probability: 0.30
|
||||||
# 断裂带+陡坡(无强降雨也有基岩蠕变风险)
|
# 断裂带+陡坡+降雨(无强降雨时基岩蠕变速率极低,需降雨触发失稳)
|
||||||
- condition: {dist_to_fault: [very_close], slope: [high, very_high]}
|
- condition: {rain_intensity: [light, moderate, heavy, storm, downpour, extreme], dist_to_fault: [very_close], slope: [high, very_high]}
|
||||||
probability: 0.25
|
probability: 0.25
|
||||||
# 城区+中坡:工程扰动
|
# 城区+中坡+降雨:工程扰动需降雨触发
|
||||||
- condition: {landuse: [urban], slope: [medium, high]}
|
- condition: {rain_intensity: [light, moderate, heavy, storm, downpour, extreme], landuse: [urban], slope: [medium, high]}
|
||||||
probability: 0.20
|
probability: 0.20
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
# === 低风险兜底(≤0.05)===
|
# === 低风险兜底(≤0.05)===
|
||||||
@@ -151,8 +151,8 @@ debris_flow:
|
|||||||
# 暴雨+缓坡+松散堆积物
|
# 暴雨+缓坡+松散堆积物
|
||||||
- condition: {rain_intensity: [storm, downpour, extreme], slope: [low, medium], lithology: [unconsolidated]}
|
- condition: {rain_intensity: [storm, downpour, extreme], slope: [low, medium], lithology: [unconsolidated]}
|
||||||
probability: 0.25
|
probability: 0.25
|
||||||
# 断裂带+陡坡(无强降雨,崩塌堆积物也可启动)
|
# 断裂带+陡坡+降雨(无降雨时崩塌堆积物缺乏运移介质,泥石流无法启动)
|
||||||
- condition: {dist_to_fault: [very_close], slope: [high, very_high]}
|
- condition: {rain_intensity: [light, moderate, heavy, storm, downpour, extreme], dist_to_fault: [very_close], slope: [high, very_high]}
|
||||||
probability: 0.22
|
probability: 0.22
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
# === 低风险兜底(≤0.05)===
|
# === 低风险兜底(≤0.05)===
|
||||||
@@ -320,8 +320,9 @@ collapse:
|
|||||||
# 暴雨+陡坡+松散岩性(黄土/碎屑岩):黄土塬边崩塌
|
# 暴雨+陡坡+松散岩性(黄土/碎屑岩):黄土塬边崩塌
|
||||||
- condition: {rain_intensity: [storm, downpour, extreme], slope: [high, very_high], lithology: [terrigenous, unconsolidated, mixed_clastic]}
|
- condition: {rain_intensity: [storm, downpour, extreme], slope: [high, very_high], lithology: [terrigenous, unconsolidated, mixed_clastic]}
|
||||||
probability: 0.72
|
probability: 0.72
|
||||||
# 近河道+松散堆积物+陡坡:河流侧蚀致崩塌(渭河/灞河/浐河)
|
# 近河道+松散堆积物+陡坡+降雨:河流侧蚀致崩塌(渭河/灞河/浐河)
|
||||||
- condition: {dist_to_river: [very_close, close], lithology: [unconsolidated], slope: [high, very_high]}
|
# 降雨是崩塌的直接触发因素,无降雨时河流侧蚀是缓慢累积过程,不构成即时风险
|
||||||
|
- condition: {rain_intensity: [light, moderate, heavy, storm, downpour, extreme], dist_to_river: [very_close, close], lithology: [unconsolidated], slope: [high, very_high]}
|
||||||
probability: 0.70
|
probability: 0.70
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
# === 高风险(0.50-0.65)===
|
# === 高风险(0.50-0.65)===
|
||||||
@@ -342,14 +343,14 @@ collapse:
|
|||||||
probability: 0.55
|
probability: 0.55
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
# === 中风险(0.20-0.40)===
|
# === 中风险(0.20-0.40)===
|
||||||
# 近河道+缓坡+松散堆积物:侧蚀累积效应
|
# 近河道+缓坡+松散堆积物+降雨:侧蚀累积效应需降雨触发
|
||||||
- condition: {dist_to_river: [very_close, close], lithology: [unconsolidated], slope: [medium]}
|
- condition: {rain_intensity: [light, moderate, heavy, storm, downpour, extreme], dist_to_river: [very_close, close], lithology: [unconsolidated], slope: [medium]}
|
||||||
probability: 0.35
|
probability: 0.35
|
||||||
# 大雨+中坡
|
# 大雨+中坡
|
||||||
- condition: {rain_intensity: [heavy], slope: [medium, high]}
|
- condition: {rain_intensity: [heavy], slope: [medium, high]}
|
||||||
probability: 0.30
|
probability: 0.30
|
||||||
# 断裂带+陡坡(无强降雨也有蠕变崩塌风险)
|
# 断裂带+陡坡+降雨(无强降雨时蠕变崩塌概率极低,需降雨触发)
|
||||||
- condition: {dist_to_fault: [very_close], slope: [high, very_high]}
|
- condition: {rain_intensity: [light, moderate, heavy, storm, downpour, extreme], dist_to_fault: [very_close], slope: [high, very_high]}
|
||||||
probability: 0.25
|
probability: 0.25
|
||||||
# 暴雨+缓坡+松散岩性
|
# 暴雨+缓坡+松散岩性
|
||||||
- condition: {rain_intensity: [storm, downpour, extreme], slope: [low, medium], lithology: [unconsolidated]}
|
- condition: {rain_intensity: [storm, downpour, extreme], slope: [low, medium], lithology: [unconsolidated]}
|
||||||
|
|||||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user