优化参数
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@@ -74,13 +74,13 @@ landslide:
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# === 极高风险(≥0.70)===
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# 大地震+近场+陡坡:最大规模地震滑坡
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# 参考:M7.0+近场(<30km)陡坡区滑坡概率>80%(Keefer 1984)
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], epicenter_distance: [very_near], slope: [steep, very_steep, extreme_steep]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], epicenter_distance: [very_near], slope: [high, very_high]}
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probability: 0.85
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# 大地震+近场+饱和土体:黄土震陷+液化
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], epicenter_distance: [very_near], soil_moisture: [wet, saturated]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], epicenter_distance: [very_near], soil_moisture: [medium, high]}
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probability: 0.82
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# 强震+近场+陡坡+断裂带附近:近场效应+岩体破碎
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major, great], epicenter_distance: [very_near], slope: [steep, very_steep, extreme_steep], dist_to_fault: [very_close, close]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major, great], epicenter_distance: [very_near], slope: [high, very_high], dist_to_fault: [very_close, close]}
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probability: 0.80
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# 大地震+近场+松散堆积物:黄土滑坡(1556年华县地震典型场景)
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], epicenter_distance: [very_near, near], lithology: [unconsolidated, mixed_clastic]}
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@@ -88,16 +88,16 @@ landslide:
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# === 高风险(0.50-0.65)===
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# 强震+近场+陡坡
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major], epicenter_distance: [very_near, near], slope: [steep, very_steep, extreme_steep]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major], epicenter_distance: [very_near, near], slope: [high, very_high]}
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probability: 0.65
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# 大地震+中距+陡坡+断裂带
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], epicenter_distance: [near, moderate], slope: [steep, very_steep, extreme_steep], dist_to_fault: [very_close, close]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], epicenter_distance: [near, moderate], slope: [high, very_high], dist_to_fault: [very_close, close]}
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probability: 0.62
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# 强震+中陡坡+松散堆积物:黄土塬边滑坡
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major], epicenter_distance: [very_near, near], slope: [moderate, steep, very_steep, extreme_steep], lithology: [unconsolidated]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major], epicenter_distance: [very_near, near], slope: [medium, high, very_high], lithology: [unconsolidated]}
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probability: 0.60
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# 强震+陡坡+饱和土体
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major], slope: [steep, very_steep, extreme_steep], soil_moisture: [wet, saturated]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major], slope: [high, very_high], soil_moisture: [medium, high]}
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probability: 0.58
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# 大地震+近场+丘陵地形:黄土塬边
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], epicenter_distance: [very_near, near], terrain: [hill, gentle_hill]}
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@@ -108,22 +108,22 @@ landslide:
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# === 中风险(0.20-0.40)===
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# 中强震+近场+陡坡
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- condition: {magnitude: [moderate, strong], epicenter_distance: [very_near, near], slope: [steep, very_steep, extreme_steep]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [moderate, strong], epicenter_distance: [very_near, near], slope: [high, very_high]}
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probability: 0.40
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# 强震+中距+陡坡
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major], epicenter_distance: [near, moderate], slope: [steep, very_steep, extreme_steep]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major], epicenter_distance: [near, moderate], slope: [high, very_high]}
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probability: 0.35
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# 强震+中坡+松散堆积物
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major], slope: [moderate, steep], lithology: [unconsolidated]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major], slope: [medium, high], lithology: [unconsolidated]}
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probability: 0.30
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# 大地震+远距(仍有影响,1556年华县地震影响范围>300km)
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], epicenter_distance: [moderate, far], slope: [steep, very_steep, extreme_steep]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], epicenter_distance: [moderate, far], slope: [high, very_high]}
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probability: 0.28
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# 断裂带+陡坡(即使中小地震也有蠕变风险)
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- condition: {dist_to_fault: [very_close], slope: [steep, very_steep, extreme_steep]}
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- condition: {dist_to_fault: [very_close], slope: [high, very_high]}
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probability: 0.25
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# 中强震+中坡
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- condition: {magnitude: [moderate, strong], slope: [moderate, steep]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [moderate, strong], slope: [medium, high]}
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probability: 0.22
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# === 低风险兜底(≤0.05)===
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@@ -131,7 +131,7 @@ landslide:
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probability: 0.02
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- condition: {epicenter_distance: [far]}
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probability: 0.02
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- condition: {slope: [flat, gentle]}
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- condition: {slope: [very_low, low]}
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probability: 0.01
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# ----------------------------------------
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@@ -149,52 +149,52 @@ debris_flow:
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rules:
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# === 极高风险(≥0.70)===
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# 大地震+近场+陡坡+高含沙量:物源充足+强震动
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], epicenter_distance: [very_near], slope: [steep, very_steep, extreme_steep], sand_content: [medium, high]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], epicenter_distance: [very_near], slope: [high, very_high], sand_content: [medium, high]}
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probability: 0.80
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# 大地震+近场+中高山区+松散堆积物:秦岭北麓沟道
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], epicenter_distance: [very_near, near], elevation: [mid_mountain, high_mountain], lithology: [unconsolidated, mixed_clastic]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], epicenter_distance: [very_near, near], elevation: [high, very_high], lithology: [unconsolidated, mixed_clastic]}
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probability: 0.78
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# 强震+近场+陡坡+断裂带:破碎岩体提供物源
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major, great], epicenter_distance: [very_near], slope: [steep, very_steep, extreme_steep], dist_to_fault: [very_close, close]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major, great], epicenter_distance: [very_near], slope: [high, very_high], dist_to_fault: [very_close, close]}
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probability: 0.75
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# 大地震+饱和+陡坡:液化+滑坡→泥石流
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], soil_moisture: [wet, saturated], slope: [steep, very_steep, extreme_steep]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], soil_moisture: [medium, high], slope: [high, very_high]}
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probability: 0.72
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# === 高风险(0.50-0.65)===
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# 强震+近场+陡坡
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major], epicenter_distance: [very_near, near], slope: [steep, very_steep, extreme_steep]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major], epicenter_distance: [very_near, near], slope: [high, very_high]}
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probability: 0.62
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# 强震+中高山区+松散堆积物
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major], elevation: [mid_mountain, high_mountain], lithology: [unconsolidated, mixed_clastic]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major], elevation: [high, very_high], lithology: [unconsolidated, mixed_clastic]}
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probability: 0.58
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# 大地震+中距+陡坡+高含沙量
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], epicenter_distance: [near, moderate], slope: [steep, very_steep, extreme_steep], sand_content: [medium, high]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], epicenter_distance: [near, moderate], slope: [high, very_high], sand_content: [medium, high]}
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probability: 0.55
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# 强震+陡坡+松散堆积物
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major], slope: [steep, very_steep, extreme_steep], lithology: [unconsolidated, mixed_clastic]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major], slope: [high, very_high], lithology: [unconsolidated, mixed_clastic]}
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probability: 0.52
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# === 中风险(0.20-0.40)===
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# 中强震+近场+陡坡
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- condition: {magnitude: [moderate, strong], epicenter_distance: [very_near, near], slope: [steep, very_steep, extreme_steep]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [moderate, strong], epicenter_distance: [very_near, near], slope: [high, very_high]}
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probability: 0.38
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# 强震+中高山区(物源区本身不稳定)
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major], elevation: [mid_mountain, high_mountain], slope: [moderate, steep]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major], elevation: [high, very_high], slope: [medium, high]}
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probability: 0.30
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# 大地震+远距+陡坡
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], epicenter_distance: [moderate, far], slope: [steep, very_steep, extreme_steep]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], epicenter_distance: [moderate, far], slope: [high, very_high]}
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probability: 0.28
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# 断裂带+陡坡+松散堆积物(无强震也有蠕变崩塌→物源积累)
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- condition: {dist_to_fault: [very_close], slope: [steep, very_steep, extreme_steep], lithology: [unconsolidated]}
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- condition: {dist_to_fault: [very_close], slope: [high, very_high], lithology: [unconsolidated]}
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probability: 0.22
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# === 低风险兜底(≤0.05)===
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- condition: {magnitude: [minor]}
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probability: 0.01
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- condition: {slope: [flat, gentle]}
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- condition: {slope: [very_low, low]}
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probability: 0.01
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- condition: {elevation: [basin, plain_urban]}
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- condition: {elevation: [very_low, low]}
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probability: 0.01
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# ----------------------------------------
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@@ -213,54 +213,54 @@ collapse:
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rules:
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# === 极高风险(≥0.70)===
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# 大地震+近场+极陡坡+硬岩(花岗岩/变质岩):节理面失稳
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], epicenter_distance: [very_near], slope: [very_steep, extreme_steep], lithology: [acid_rock, metamorphic, basic_rock]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], epicenter_distance: [very_near], slope: [very_high], lithology: [acid_rock, metamorphic, basic_rock]}
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probability: 0.88
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# 大地震+近场+陡坡+断裂带:岩体极度破碎
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], epicenter_distance: [very_near], slope: [steep, very_steep, extreme_steep], dist_to_fault: [very_close, close]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], epicenter_distance: [very_near], slope: [high, very_high], dist_to_fault: [very_close, close]}
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probability: 0.85
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# 大地震+近场+松散堆积物+陡坡:黄土塬边崩塌
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], epicenter_distance: [very_near], slope: [steep, very_steep, extreme_steep], lithology: [unconsolidated, terrigenous, mixed_clastic]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], epicenter_distance: [very_near], slope: [high, very_high], lithology: [unconsolidated, terrigenous, mixed_clastic]}
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probability: 0.80
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# 强震+近场+极陡坡
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major], epicenter_distance: [very_near], slope: [very_steep, extreme_steep]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major], epicenter_distance: [very_near], slope: [very_high]}
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probability: 0.75
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# === 高风险(0.50-0.65)===
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# 强震+近场+陡坡+断裂带
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major], epicenter_distance: [very_near, near], slope: [steep, very_steep, extreme_steep], dist_to_fault: [very_close, close]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major], epicenter_distance: [very_near, near], slope: [high, very_high], dist_to_fault: [very_close, close]}
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probability: 0.68
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# 大地震+中距+陡坡+硬岩
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], epicenter_distance: [near, moderate], slope: [steep, very_steep, extreme_steep], lithology: [acid_rock, metamorphic]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], epicenter_distance: [near, moderate], slope: [high, very_high], lithology: [acid_rock, metamorphic]}
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probability: 0.62
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# 强震+近场+陡坡+松散堆积物:黄土崩塌
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major], epicenter_distance: [very_near, near], slope: [steep, very_steep, extreme_steep], lithology: [unconsolidated]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major], epicenter_distance: [very_near, near], slope: [high, very_high], lithology: [unconsolidated]}
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probability: 0.60
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# 近河道+陡坡+松散堆积物+地震:河流侧蚀+地震触发
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- condition: {dist_to_river: [very_close, close], slope: [steep, very_steep, extreme_steep], lithology: [unconsolidated], magnitude: [strong, major, great]}
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- condition: {dist_to_river: [very_close, close], slope: [high, very_high], lithology: [unconsolidated], magnitude: [strong, major, great]}
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probability: 0.58
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# 强震+中陡坡+断裂带
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major], slope: [moderate, steep, very_steep, extreme_steep], dist_to_fault: [very_close, close]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major], slope: [medium, high, very_high], dist_to_fault: [very_close, close]}
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probability: 0.55
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# === 中风险(0.20-0.40)===
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# 中强震+近场+陡坡
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- condition: {magnitude: [moderate, strong], epicenter_distance: [very_near, near], slope: [steep, very_steep, extreme_steep]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [moderate, strong], epicenter_distance: [very_near, near], slope: [high, very_high]}
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probability: 0.40
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# 强震+中距+陡坡
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major], epicenter_distance: [near, moderate], slope: [steep, very_steep, extreme_steep]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [strong, major], epicenter_distance: [near, moderate], slope: [high, very_high]}
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probability: 0.35
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# 近河道+中坡+松散堆积物(无强震也有侧蚀崩塌)
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- condition: {dist_to_river: [very_close, close], lithology: [unconsolidated], slope: [moderate, steep]}
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- condition: {dist_to_river: [very_close, close], lithology: [unconsolidated], slope: [medium, high]}
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probability: 0.30
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# 断裂带+陡坡(无强震也有蠕变崩塌)
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- condition: {dist_to_fault: [very_close], slope: [steep, very_steep, extreme_steep]}
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- condition: {dist_to_fault: [very_close], slope: [high, very_high]}
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probability: 0.28
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# 大地震+远距+陡坡
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], epicenter_distance: [moderate, far], slope: [steep, very_steep, extreme_steep]}
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- condition: {magnitude: [major, great], epicenter_distance: [moderate, far], slope: [high, very_high]}
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probability: 0.25
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# === 低风险兜底(≤0.05)===
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- condition: {magnitude: [minor]}
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probability: 0.01
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- condition: {slope: [flat, gentle]}
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- condition: {slope: [very_low, low]}
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probability: 0.01
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